Market Updates
February 3, 2025
Stubborn inflation trends appear to be keeping further rate cuts on hold. On the brighter side, we see potential for a surge in foreign investment to the U.S. this year — and DeepSeek's innovations could ultimately increase global AI adoption.
January 27, 2025
We believe continued market expansion will depend on more balanced growth both here and abroad, as well as solid fundamentals. Those fundamentals include economic growth, inflation and earnings, as well as the financial health of U.S. consumers.
January 21, 2025
The economy is top of mind for investors heading into 2025, but evolving policies may also have an impact. Prominent among them: How the rest of the world responds to U.S. protectionism and the potential effects of sweeping anti-immigration policy.
January 13, 2025
Several sustainable drivers of economic growth support a positive backdrop for 2025, but investors should be prepared to take potential punches from inflation, trade policy, the pace of Artificial Intelligence adoption, and a high federal budget deficit.
January 6, 2025
2025 may be a year of upside surprises, as rising and broadening corporate earnings, a solid U.S. consumer, and the structural shift toward easier monetary and fiscal policies should combine to support economic growth and shape future market returns.
December 23, 2024
Despite a global pandemic, record inflation, and other factors that contributed to the “Roiling ‘20s,” the U.S. economy has proven it’s the most resilient, dynamic in the world, with foreign ownership of U.S. securities hitting a record high.
December 16, 2024
A continued bull market may not be a guarantee in the coming year. Global growth challenges, trade tensions, inflation, a surging federal deficit and U.S. policy uncertainty are among the potential headwinds we could see in 2025.
December 9, 2024
With investors hesitant to deploy excess dry powder amid concerns about changing markets, portfolio construction must reckon with rising geopolitical risks and attendant policy preferences. Meanwhile, U.S. bond markets continue to look solid.
December 2, 2024
Corporate profits, artificial intelligence and U.S. consumer confidence stood out in the Q3 earnings season. Heading into 2025, policy changes reinforce our preference for U.S. equities and housing could prove to be a bright spot.
November 25, 2024
Cautious optimism should prevail for peak retail sales season and the macro growth trajectory in 2025. However, defense, China, deficits and money markets will bear watching as the investment landscape evolves in the year ahead.
November 18, 2024
Rich valuations skew the risk-reward equation to the downside for high-yield spreads. Meanwhile, the hukou system remains a drag on Chinese consumption and growth — and weaker Chinese demand plus a growing supply outlook could weigh on oil prices.
November 12, 2024
The election results could amplify an already-strong fiscal and monetary policy impulse, but it's not all clear sailing for the markets. Whatever the macro shifts look like, however, the Artificial Intelligence arms race is shaping up to be expansive and expensive.
